*PDF of paper in press on Extinction Debt by Jackson and Sax:*
http://www.brown.edu/Research/
*Project summary of the grant proposal that is funding the postdoctoral position:*
The time-course and dynamics of species extinctions at local spatial scales are poorly understood relative to the intrinsic interest of this topic. The reason for this disparity is simple – there are relatively few data sets available that reveal patterns of species extinction at local spatial scales over time-courses of decades to centuries. “Long-term” ecological data typically span periods of 20-40 years. While such data sets are invaluable, extinction dynamics may require longer runs of time to play out. Here we propose to remedy this shortcoming by adapting paleoecological techniques to address contemporary extinction dynamics in pond communities. We will conduct a detailed study of extinction dynamics following major human-induced disturbances of the mid-late 19^th Century by examining plant macrofossils and pollen in well-dated sediment cores. Plant macrofossils (seeds, fruits, and vegetative material) are produced by most aquatic and wetland species, do not travel far from source plants, and can be identified to species. Thus, they can provide detailed records of changes in local populations, including invasion and extinction.
Our study will concentrate on the Indiana Dunes National Lakeshore, where numerous well-studied ponds are available. Previous plant-macrofossil work conducted at this site has shown good preservation of plant fossils over the past several thousand years. This work also shows that many abundant species underwent local extinction following onset of human disturbance approximately 150 years ago. By collecting more than 100 sediment cores across a landscape of ponds, we will be able to study the fine-scale dynamics of species extinctions over the past 300 years. Because of the high sedimentation rates at the study sites, we will be able to resolve changes in relative abundance and composition of these species in approximately 15-year increments from 300-150 years ago and in 5-year increments from 150 years ago to the present (when sedimentation rates were higher). We will complement the macrofossil findings with more ‘traditional’ long-term data, by conducting a 28-year resurvey of the vegetation in these ponds. We will also advance the study of taphonomy by relating extant vegetation to the deposition of plant pollen, seeds and fruits.
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Dov F. Sax
Assistant Professor
Ecology and Evolutionary Biology
80 Waterman Street, Box G-W
Brown University
Providence, RI 02912-0001
phone: 401-863-9676
fax: 401-863-2166